MINDEF: Military Expenditure

MINDEF’s total expenditure in FY2023 is projected to increase 5.6% over FY2022, on top of an 11.3% increase from FY2021 to FY2022. In the Revenue and Expenditure Estimates for FY 2023/24, “Military Expenditure” is just a single line item with an amount of $17.0 billion, without any further breakdown.

MINDEF does explain that operating expenditure includes the payments for the (i) purchase of military equipment, (ii) maintenance of equipment and camps, (iii) allowances for national servicemen, and (iv) salaries of regular servicemen and women. While I understand the need for military secrecy, can MINDEF minimally provide the estimated expenditure for each of these four items? This is common practice in public budget estimates in other territories, including Taiwan, Latvia and Finland, all of whom face real and existential threats.

I am aware that the Public Accounts Committee (PAC) conducts scrutiny of the Government’s expenditure and accounts, including the defence budget. However, does the PAC have access to any breakdown of military expenditure? If not, it will be difficult for the Committee to scrutinise the defence budget, given that military expenditure comprises almost 95% of the Ministry’s total budget.

Sir, I am proud to have served my full-time NS and completed all my Operationally Ready NS cycles. I support the need to maintain a strong and credible SAF to effectively defend Singapore. This is why I believe that more thorough scrutiny of MINDEF’s budget and expenditure will help maintain public confidence that the $17.97 billion allocated to the Ministry — the highest among all the Ministries — is going entirely towards achieving its mission.


Committee of Supply Debate – Ministry of Defence, 24 Feb 2023

SAF Digital and Intelligence Service

This was my speech in Parliament during the debate on the Singapore Armed Forces and Other Matters Bill on 2 Aug 2022.

In my speech today, I will be focusing on the amendments to the Singapore Armed Forces Act to establish a new Digital and Intelligence Service (DIS). MINDEF plans to establish a DIS, which will be a fourth armed service, alongside the Army, Navy and Air Force. This is timely, given the growing importance of cyber warfare and cyber defence.

Importance of cyber capabilities

Cyber warfare involves attacks on critical infrastructure systems of an adversary. These could include “soft kills” that damage key operating software or hardware without kinetic action, such through hacking. The objective is to weaken the target country by compromising its core systems.

Cyber warfare takes many forms. Cyber attackers may conduct espionage using spear-phishing attacks to gain remote access to an adversary’s computer to extract sensitive information. They may hack critical infrastructure like the electrical power grid, which will disrupt communications and even cause deaths if, say, life-supporting medical equipment is shut down. Or they may crash modern economic facilities like banks and payment systems. 

Propaganda attacks may be employed to control the hearts and minds of the people living in the targeted country, or make them lose faith in their own country and sympathise with the enemy. 

These are not hypothetical scenarios. They have been employed by nation-states for many years. With the digitalisation of almost everything, the cyber threat is increasing by the day. Up until recently, a war was usually fought by sending in the air force to bomb the target nation’s critical infrastructure and defence installations, before any ground troops were sent it. In modern warfare, cyber-attacks are likely to be one of the first modes of attack, because they can be employed so easily without detection. The Gerasimov doctrine, which the Minister alluded to earlier in his speech.

All armed services are digital

The DIS aims to bolster the SAF’s capability to defend Singapore in the digital battlefield. With the establishment of the DIS, the other armed services must be careful not to develop a mindset that the DIS alone is responsible for all things digital in the SAF. 

In the commercial world, there is now much less distinction between tech companies and non-tech companies. The Fourth Industrial Revolution has forced all companies to become technology companies in some shape or form. Those that do not digitalise will find themselves losing customers to more digital-savvy competitors, and may even go out of business.

Similarly, in the military realm, every armed service — the army, navy, airforce and DIS — will need to use digital capabilities to keep ahead of our nation’s potential adversaries. Digitalisation, cyber defence and cyber security cannot be left to the DIS alone to handle

Could the Minister share the broad parameters regarding which digital responsibilities fall under the purview of the DIS and which do not?

Inter-agency digital cooperation

The DIS will not be the first technology-focused agency to be set up within the Government. 

How will the role of the DIS be different from that of the Cyber Security Agency (CSA) and the Home Team Science and Technology Agency (HTX) in countering cyber threats to Singapore?

How will these agencies, together with the Government Technology Agency (GovTech), work together so that knowledge and information is shared, where appropriate, and duplication of work is avoided?

I hope the DIS, CSA, HTX and GovTech plan to establish a common communication platform so as to not only share information occasionally but actively work together on a regular basis to counter the cyber threats that Singapore faces. I note that a Digital Ops-Tech Centre will be established as a centre of excellence for SAF’s digital expertise, partnering the Defence Tech Community, Whole-of-Government digital agencies, academia and the industry, to remain innovative in its approaches and culture. Could the Minister elaborate more on how this partnership will work in practice?

Legal safeguards and oversight

The DIS will likely have significant capabilities and powers to intrude in the private space of the functionaries of would-be adversaries. 

What protections are in place to make sure that such capabilities are not turned on citizens or abused? It is necessary, in any developed democracy, to put in place legal safeguards and channels for recourse to prevent the abuse of power by current and future governments.

One form of oversight would be for MINDEF to provide confidential reports to a cross-party Parliamentary Select Committee for Defence, which can scrutinise those reports and ask questions in a confidential setting.

Digital manpower

I note that DIS will focus efforts to attract and develop both military and non-uniformed digital experts to grow the SAF’s digital workforce. 

Will the need for a high level of security clearance mean that the DIS will hire only Singapore citizens? 

Will the DIS be engaging technology contractors to supplement their own manpower? If so, how will it ensure that contractors and their employees, who may be reporting to foreign managers based in other countries, will not leak sensitive information? 

Members will recall how Edward Snowden, who leaked highly classified information from the US National Security Agency (NSA), was not an NSA employee but a contractor with a consulting firm hired by the agency.

The need for security clearance will naturally limit the pool of manpower available to the DIS, in what is already a very competitive labour market for tech talent. This will make it a challenge to find sufficient local tech talent to join the DIS. In fact, the introduction of the DIS could further draw talent away from the private sector, as many Singaporean tech workers are likely to be attracted to the pay, benefits and job stability that the DIS has to offer.

In order to expand the pool of tech manpower, our polytechnics and local universities must urgently increase enrolment in IT and technology-related majors. This is a point I raised before in this House. More funding should be provided to our local institutions to achieve this. This will benefit the recruitment pipeline of both the DIS and the private sector.

I am glad to know that NSFs and NSmen with tech talents will be leveraged to support the SAF’s digital core. The Central Manpower Base should identify such talents early, even before enlistment, so that they can be drafted into the DIS during their Full-time National Service and later during their Operationally-ready NS cycles.

Zero-day vulnerabilities

Zero-day vulnerabilities are software or hardware bugs in systems that have yet to be discovered or patched by the developer or manufacturer. When governments or individuals discover these “zero-days”, they can create software code to exploit the vulnerabilities, known as “zero-day exploits”. 

Zero-day exploits can potentially enable their owner to access sensitive information in other computer systems or take control of those systems remotely, often undetected. One of the most well-known zero-day exploits is Stuxnet, a cyber operation that sabotaged Iranian nuclear centrifuges.

I would assume — but will not ask the Minister to confirm — that the role of the DIS will include building capabilities to conduct offensive cyber operations.

In the course of this, the DIS may discover and stockpile zero-day vulnerabilities in operating systems that run critical infrastructure and the military networks of potential adversaries. It would be natural for the DIS to want to keep the knowledge of these exploits secret, so that our potential adversaries do not patch their systems and the DIS maintains its offensive capability.

However, there is an offence-defence tradeoff between stockpiling zero-day exploits and helping other local government agencies and private organisations patch these vulnerabilities so our own critical infrastructure does not get hacked by others. 

In 2016, a group of hackers calling themselves the Shadow Brokers released a cache of top secret cyber spying capabilities that likely belonged to the NSA. Some of these included zero-day exploits, which could be used to exploit vulnerabilities in products, produced by companies like Cisco, Juniper and Fortinet, that protect US companies and critical infrastructure. The existence of these zero-days raised questions about whether the NSA should have told the vendors about these vulnerabilities, so that the vendors could patch them.

The US Government has a policy whereby any agency that wishes to keep a zero-day exploit has to argue their case through what is known as a Vulnerability Equities Process (or VEP). The VEP comprises an Equities Review Board chaired by the National Security Council and attended by senior officials from agencies concerned with the security of critical infrastructure, like the Department of Homeland Security and Department of Commerce. This Board reportedly meets quite regularly.

The Singapore Government should consider developing a VEP process of its own for determining whether to retain or disclose vulnerabilities to vendors, so that our own critical infrastructure is protected from hacking attempts. 

Commercialising defence technology

The last point I wish to raise concerns the potential for commercialising defence technologies to benefit Singapore. 

Many technologies that we use every day originated from military technology. The US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (or DARPA) invented TCP/IP, which is the plumbing that makes the Internet possible. The Global Positioning System (or GPS) was originally developed by the US Department of Defense, and is now used in almost all our mobile phones. Israel is widely recognised as a “start-up nation”. Many of Israel’s high-tech companies were founded by soldiers who completed their National Service in Unit 8200, the Intelligence Corps of the Israel Defense Forces.

In Singapore, we hardly hear of commercial technology or tech start-ups originating from the Defence Tech Community. I can understand why MINDEF would rather not share any defence technology discoveries publicly, because that may cause us to lose our edge over our adversaries. 

With the establishment of the DIS, there is likely going to be billions of dollars from the public purse spent on developing digital capabilities within the SAF. There should be some scope for allowing some limited commercialisation of defence technologies that would benefit our nation, economy or society.

MINDEF should develop a framework for allowing some of these technologies to be commercialised without compromising national security. This framework should also have safeguards in place to ensure that the commercialised products are not abused by private organisations or foreign governments for nefarious purposes, as this could have a negative effect on Singapore’s international reputation.

The interaction between defence and commercial technologists could also spark ideas, innovations and discoveries within the DIS and the wider Defence Tech Community, and help the SAF improve its technological edge.

Summary

In summary, I support the creation of the DIS within the SAF but hope the Minister will consider the concerns I have raised.

First, the DIS must not operate in a silo. All armed services need to continually digitalise in order to maintain their edge in the battlefield. The DIS should work closely with other digital government agencies to jointly counter the cyber threats that Singapore faces.

Second, the significant technological capabilities of the DIS must be balanced with adequate checks and balances, legal safeguards and oversight to prevent the abuse of power and violations of citizens’ right to privacy, especially during peacetime.

Third, the establishment of the DIS will create a greater demand for local tech talent. Local higher education institutions must increase the intake of Singaporeans in IT-related majors to meet this demand.

Fourth, to safeguard Singapore’s critical infrastructure from being hacked, the Government should consider implementing a Vulnerability Equities Process to decide whether to retain or disclose to vendors any vulnerabilities that its agencies, including the DIS, discover.

And fifth, MINDEF should develop a framework for allowing some defence technologies to be commercialised to benefit our nation, but without compromising national security or allowing the technologies to be abused.

Military is no place for foreigners

I am of the view that non-Singaporeans should be prohibited from being members of our security services, especially the military.

Today’s newspapers were flush with stories of foreigners who are serving in the Singapore Armed Forces (SAF). The Straits Times highlighted some Russians, Chinese and Indian nationals, as well as Malaysians, who are serving in various leadership capacities in the SAF.

This uniquely Singaporean quirk has come about because our law requires children of first generation permanent residents (i.e., second generation PRs) to serve their National Service (NS) or forfeit their PR status. With the influx of foreigners into Singapore over the past 10 years and the liberal way in which PR status is dispensed to so many foreigners, it is inevitable that we are seeing many more foreigners donning camouflage green uniforms these days.

I feel that non-Singaporeans should be prohibited from being members of our security services, especially the Singapore Armed Forces (SAF). I know I am treading on sensitive ground by saying this, especially in the context of the debate between the privileges and obligations of citizens and foreigners in Singapore.

Continue reading “Military is no place for foreigners”

Training real “thinking soldiers”

The SAF’s idea for current affairs discussions between commanders and soldiers is something along the lines of what I suggested three years ago in an article written for Singapore Angle (reproduced on my blog) titled “Israel’s unprepared reservists: Could the thing happen to Singapore?”.

The Singapore Armed Forces (SAF) has planned a revamp of the Basic Military Training (BMT) programme. Apart from adjusting the length of BMT for several categories of less-fit recruits, the revamped BMT will also “teach military customs and traditions, and will set aside time for commanders and soldiers to discuss current affairs”.

According to TODAY, for the past two to three years, recruits have been encouraged to keep journals on their training and urged to write letters to their loved ones during “mail runs” on field training. This is part of the SAF’s efforts to engage the troops “intellectually and emotionally”, according to Chief of Army, Maj-Gen Neo Kian Hong.

MG Neo said that “rather than just teaching them, we are also telling them the reason behind it.”

The idea for current affairs discussions between commanders and soldiers is something along the lines of what I suggested three years ago in an article written for Singapore Angle (reproduced on my blog) titled “Israel’s unprepared reservists: Could the thing happen to Singapore?”.

Continue reading “Training real “thinking soldiers””

In support of humanitarian missions

As the most developed country in Southeast Asia, with the most technologically advanced and best trained military, I see it as our responsibility to make these contributions to our neighbours in times of need.

I congratulate and honour the teams from the Singapore Armed Forces (SAF), Singapore Civil Defence Force (SCDF), Mercy Relief and SingHealth institutions who undertook missions to West Sumatra to assist with relief work following the devastating earthquakes there.

There were 80 personnel from the SAF, 42 from the SCDF and seven from Mercy Relief and SingHealth sent in separate missions over the past few weeks.

I strongly support humanitarian missions undertaken by our military and civil defence forces. They not only provide essential logistics, medical and organisational assistance to the victims on the ground, but also serve to cultivate better relations with the Indonesian military, which could prove to be invaluable in future. In addition, they also provide our men and women in green with some much needed operational experience.

Given the fact that we live in a disaster-prone neighbourhood, I hope to see the SAF and SCDF continue to build up their capabilities and readiness to take on more such missions in future. As the most developed country in Southeast Asia, with the most technologically advanced and best trained military, I see it as our responsibility to make these contributions to our neighbours in times of need.

Malays deserve equal opportunities in the SAF

I was glad to learn that Colonel Ishak bin Ismail will be promoted to the rank of Brigadier General come 1st July. As Commander of the 6th Division since last August — division commanders in Singapore are usually BGs — his promotion was unsurprising.

What makes his achievement so significant is the fact that he became a BG despite having two “strikes” against him: He is Malay in the Singapore army, and he is not a government scholar. Although I have never served under him, I am confident that the SAF would not place a man in command of one of our three Combined Arms Divisions just for the sake of political tokenism.

Nevertheless, Singaporeans should not be lulled into thinking that full meritocracy has arrived in the SAF. There are still many “sensitive” units that have recently naturalised citizens but not a single Malay in their ranks.

Continue reading “Malays deserve equal opportunities in the SAF”