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	<title>Comments on: The PAP’s obsession with GDP growth</title>
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	<link>http://geraldgiam.sg/2010/07/the-pap%e2%80%99s-obsession-with-gdp-growth/</link>
	<description>Alternative proposals for a better Singapore</description>
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		<title>By: engagement rings</title>
		<link>http://geraldgiam.sg/2010/07/the-pap%e2%80%99s-obsession-with-gdp-growth/comment-page-1/#comment-10771</link>
		<dc:creator>engagement rings</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Aug 2011 21:54:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://geraldgiam.sg/?p=1510#comment-10771</guid>
		<description>Kudos to that!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Kudos to that!</p>
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		<title>By: futures brokers</title>
		<link>http://geraldgiam.sg/2010/07/the-pap%e2%80%99s-obsession-with-gdp-growth/comment-page-1/#comment-5541</link>
		<dc:creator>futures brokers</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Nov 2010 05:13:51 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Another superb share of toughts..I like  this one especially .. Mark</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Another superb share of toughts..I like  this one especially .. Mark</p>
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		<title>By: LML</title>
		<link>http://geraldgiam.sg/2010/07/the-pap%e2%80%99s-obsession-with-gdp-growth/comment-page-1/#comment-5081</link>
		<dc:creator>LML</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Jul 2010 22:19:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://geraldgiam.sg/?p=1510#comment-5081</guid>
		<description>I think that the performance of the Singapore economy is great by all means, with Singapore&#039;s per capital income reaching $50,000 USD (4th in the world) we have surpassed the per capital income of USA ($46,000) and even Japan ($32,000) , HK ($42,000) by a commendable margin. Although it can be argued that this was also a direct result of the strength of the Singapore dollar against many major currencies due to our huge foreign reserves. 

I would partially agree with the post that the increase in GDP would increase hardship among some Singaporeans but would disagree that the GDP figures are &quot;not natural and inedible&quot;. 

1. Overheating

concerns of overheating is only very true if there is a sustained period of such growth over a period of time (which is highly unlikely) inflation can indeed spike during such periods. However the government has many readily available tools at its disposal to reduce inflation: Currency controls , GST (7%) and wages (By increasing or decreasing foreign labour) - its a huge buffer zone to control any sort of spiraling inflation, It is probably premature to say that overheating will definitely occur more so when the government has many disposable tools to prevent it.

2. Relation between foreign labour and GDP growth

I think one of the most important points that most people misunderstand is the government stand on foreign labour. It is a logical and important step to ensure that there is an ample supply of labour available to the market. Singapore&#039;s unemployment stands at 2.2% which is very low and would probably not accommodate any large increase in demand of labour. (100,000 workers is already greater than the 2.2% of avaialble Singaporean workers) 

Effects:

i. reduce strain on labour market (by ensuring supply meets demand)
ii. reduce wages (by increasing supply of labour)
iii reduce inflationary pressures ( by reducing wages) 

3. Wealth Distribution gap

I think that the most pressing issue that the government most solve is the wealth distribtuion gap caused by the up-swing in GDP growth.

Asset prices are spiraling out of control due to the influx of FDI (Foreign investments) and the overheating GDP which auctually is a good thing for the wealthier Singaporeans as they are asset rich, but would not be great for the majority of Singaporean who live in HDB (who are technically renting their apartments for 99 years- higher asset prices imply higher rent).

Coupled with the governments policy of bringing in Foreign workers to reduce inflationary pressures - an undesirable effect is the direct impact of lowering labour wages especially in the lower income range (most foreign workers are in this range)

Add the spike in inflation that is probably going to come soon , we have sandwiched lower and middle income Singaporeans who will feel the effects of:

i. Inflation (higher cost of living and depreciated savings)
ii. Higher Asset Prices ( higher cost of housing )
iii. Controlled wages ( Government policy of controlling inflation by bringing in foreign workers)

4. Inedible &amp; Un-natural ?

Probably not inedible, its just a matter of who is getting a larger slice of a pie (the pie has obviously increased in size) , and probably not un-natural since it is caused by a surge in exports (which has little to do with government policy).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think that the performance of the Singapore economy is great by all means, with Singapore&#8217;s per capital income reaching $50,000 USD (4th in the world) we have surpassed the per capital income of USA ($46,000) and even Japan ($32,000) , HK ($42,000) by a commendable margin. Although it can be argued that this was also a direct result of the strength of the Singapore dollar against many major currencies due to our huge foreign reserves. </p>
<p>I would partially agree with the post that the increase in GDP would increase hardship among some Singaporeans but would disagree that the GDP figures are &#8220;not natural and inedible&#8221;. </p>
<p>1. Overheating</p>
<p>concerns of overheating is only very true if there is a sustained period of such growth over a period of time (which is highly unlikely) inflation can indeed spike during such periods. However the government has many readily available tools at its disposal to reduce inflation: Currency controls , GST (7%) and wages (By increasing or decreasing foreign labour) &#8211; its a huge buffer zone to control any sort of spiraling inflation, It is probably premature to say that overheating will definitely occur more so when the government has many disposable tools to prevent it.</p>
<p>2. Relation between foreign labour and GDP growth</p>
<p>I think one of the most important points that most people misunderstand is the government stand on foreign labour. It is a logical and important step to ensure that there is an ample supply of labour available to the market. Singapore&#8217;s unemployment stands at 2.2% which is very low and would probably not accommodate any large increase in demand of labour. (100,000 workers is already greater than the 2.2% of avaialble Singaporean workers) </p>
<p>Effects:</p>
<p>i. reduce strain on labour market (by ensuring supply meets demand)<br />
ii. reduce wages (by increasing supply of labour)<br />
iii reduce inflationary pressures ( by reducing wages) </p>
<p>3. Wealth Distribution gap</p>
<p>I think that the most pressing issue that the government most solve is the wealth distribtuion gap caused by the up-swing in GDP growth.</p>
<p>Asset prices are spiraling out of control due to the influx of FDI (Foreign investments) and the overheating GDP which auctually is a good thing for the wealthier Singaporeans as they are asset rich, but would not be great for the majority of Singaporean who live in HDB (who are technically renting their apartments for 99 years- higher asset prices imply higher rent).</p>
<p>Coupled with the governments policy of bringing in Foreign workers to reduce inflationary pressures &#8211; an undesirable effect is the direct impact of lowering labour wages especially in the lower income range (most foreign workers are in this range)</p>
<p>Add the spike in inflation that is probably going to come soon , we have sandwiched lower and middle income Singaporeans who will feel the effects of:</p>
<p>i. Inflation (higher cost of living and depreciated savings)<br />
ii. Higher Asset Prices ( higher cost of housing )<br />
iii. Controlled wages ( Government policy of controlling inflation by bringing in foreign workers)</p>
<p>4. Inedible &amp; Un-natural ?</p>
<p>Probably not inedible, its just a matter of who is getting a larger slice of a pie (the pie has obviously increased in size) , and probably not un-natural since it is caused by a surge in exports (which has little to do with government policy).</p>
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		<title>By: Weekly Roundup: Week 30 &#171; The Singapore Daily</title>
		<link>http://geraldgiam.sg/2010/07/the-pap%e2%80%99s-obsession-with-gdp-growth/comment-page-1/#comment-5067</link>
		<dc:creator>Weekly Roundup: Week 30 &#171; The Singapore Daily</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Jul 2010 02:52:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://geraldgiam.sg/?p=1510#comment-5067</guid>
		<description>[...] fed, up with progress! - TOC: Fastest growing economy? What about jobs and wages? - Gerald Giam: The PAP’s obsession with GDP growth - Diary of A Singaporean Mind: Hong Kong Passed Its Minimum Wage Law Yesterday&#8230; - The Temasek [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] fed, up with progress! &#8211; TOC: Fastest growing economy? What about jobs and wages? &#8211; Gerald Giam: The PAP’s obsession with GDP growth &#8211; Diary of A Singaporean Mind: Hong Kong Passed Its Minimum Wage Law Yesterday&#8230; &#8211; The Temasek [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Wai Leong</title>
		<link>http://geraldgiam.sg/2010/07/the-pap%e2%80%99s-obsession-with-gdp-growth/comment-page-1/#comment-5064</link>
		<dc:creator>Wai Leong</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Jul 2010 04:41:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://geraldgiam.sg/?p=1510#comment-5064</guid>
		<description>Think pm had a freudian slip. He prob meant &quot;run out of steam&quot;, but instead said &quot;overheating&quot;.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Think pm had a freudian slip. He prob meant &#8220;run out of steam&#8221;, but instead said &#8220;overheating&#8221;.</p>
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		<title>By: Chin-Ann</title>
		<link>http://geraldgiam.sg/2010/07/the-pap%e2%80%99s-obsession-with-gdp-growth/comment-page-1/#comment-5018</link>
		<dc:creator>Chin-Ann</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2010 07:42:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://geraldgiam.sg/?p=1510#comment-5018</guid>
		<description>Nice article that is much needed to continue to drive home the fact that the citizenry is fully aware of the differences between GDP growth reported in the newspaper vs. the real equitable welfare growth for the joe on the street.

Their bonus structure needs to be changed for sure. At the very least, it should no longer be pegged to GDP growth because then a quickly rising property market would also be good for their pockets, when it isn&#039;t obviously good for the majority of the non-speculative portion of the citizenry. 
There should be some form of a reward system that will steer Singapore&#039;s future in the direction of Australia or Switzerland or Canada, and not Shanghai or Hongkong or Tokyo. 
Singapore can do it, if only she dares to challenge the status-quo.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nice article that is much needed to continue to drive home the fact that the citizenry is fully aware of the differences between GDP growth reported in the newspaper vs. the real equitable welfare growth for the joe on the street.</p>
<p>Their bonus structure needs to be changed for sure. At the very least, it should no longer be pegged to GDP growth because then a quickly rising property market would also be good for their pockets, when it isn&#8217;t obviously good for the majority of the non-speculative portion of the citizenry.<br />
There should be some form of a reward system that will steer Singapore&#8217;s future in the direction of Australia or Switzerland or Canada, and not Shanghai or Hongkong or Tokyo.<br />
Singapore can do it, if only she dares to challenge the status-quo.</p>
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		<title>By: Daily SG: 19 Jul 2010 &#171; The Singapore Daily</title>
		<link>http://geraldgiam.sg/2010/07/the-pap%e2%80%99s-obsession-with-gdp-growth/comment-page-1/#comment-5015</link>
		<dc:creator>Daily SG: 19 Jul 2010 &#171; The Singapore Daily</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jul 2010 03:57:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://geraldgiam.sg/?p=1510#comment-5015</guid>
		<description>[...] fed, up with progress! - TOC: Fastest growing economy? What about jobs and wages? - Gerald Giam: The PAP’s obsession with GDP growth - Diary of A Singaporean Mind: Hong Kong Passed Its Minimum Wage Law Yesterday&#8230; - The Temasek [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] fed, up with progress! &#8211; TOC: Fastest growing economy? What about jobs and wages? &#8211; Gerald Giam: The PAP’s obsession with GDP growth &#8211; Diary of A Singaporean Mind: Hong Kong Passed Its Minimum Wage Law Yesterday&#8230; &#8211; The Temasek [...]</p>
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		<title>By: fumi</title>
		<link>http://geraldgiam.sg/2010/07/the-pap%e2%80%99s-obsession-with-gdp-growth/comment-page-1/#comment-5012</link>
		<dc:creator>fumi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jul 2010 15:38:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://geraldgiam.sg/?p=1510#comment-5012</guid>
		<description>made a mistake with the website, so i re-entered it. However it still contains no information, sorry about that.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>made a mistake with the website, so i re-entered it. However it still contains no information, sorry about that.</p>
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		<title>By: fumi</title>
		<link>http://geraldgiam.sg/2010/07/the-pap%e2%80%99s-obsession-with-gdp-growth/comment-page-1/#comment-5011</link>
		<dc:creator>fumi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jul 2010 15:30:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://geraldgiam.sg/?p=1510#comment-5011</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t know about the other things, but you should use common mathematics sense in interpreting the 13 to 15% GDP growth. It is not &quot;abnormal&quot;: this level of growth will only return Singapore&#039;s GDP to the pre-crisis level. That is, it is ONLY a rebound. Ask any mathematician and he will confirm what I have commented. Hope you will correct this point please.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t know about the other things, but you should use common mathematics sense in interpreting the 13 to 15% GDP growth. It is not &#8220;abnormal&#8221;: this level of growth will only return Singapore&#8217;s GDP to the pre-crisis level. That is, it is ONLY a rebound. Ask any mathematician and he will confirm what I have commented. Hope you will correct this point please.</p>
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		<title>By: ThinkHarder</title>
		<link>http://geraldgiam.sg/2010/07/the-pap%e2%80%99s-obsession-with-gdp-growth/comment-page-1/#comment-5010</link>
		<dc:creator>ThinkHarder</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 18 Jul 2010 06:09:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://geraldgiam.sg/?p=1510#comment-5010</guid>
		<description>I am not so sure what this article is aiming to achieve or drive the point at. Is it about not to take the GDP announcement seriously? If yes, what is negative impact or considerations we need to be careful with if we do. Salary is definitely at the heart of many S&#039;poreans and I&#039;m quite sure that companies do not raise salary significantly using GDP as their guide. The civil service also do not raise salary significantly except maybe those in very top positions. Therefore it&#039;s not very impactful to talk about this since majority will not feel any difference.

On the other hand, it is important to build up arguments &amp; viewpoints to educate and inform S&#039;poreans not to forget the other side of the story regarding the fantastic GDP growth and don&#039;t be taken in blindly by the good news only &amp; therefore sing praises for the PAP only.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am not so sure what this article is aiming to achieve or drive the point at. Is it about not to take the GDP announcement seriously? If yes, what is negative impact or considerations we need to be careful with if we do. Salary is definitely at the heart of many S&#8217;poreans and I&#8217;m quite sure that companies do not raise salary significantly using GDP as their guide. The civil service also do not raise salary significantly except maybe those in very top positions. Therefore it&#8217;s not very impactful to talk about this since majority will not feel any difference.</p>
<p>On the other hand, it is important to build up arguments &amp; viewpoints to educate and inform S&#8217;poreans not to forget the other side of the story regarding the fantastic GDP growth and don&#8217;t be taken in blindly by the good news only &amp; therefore sing praises for the PAP only.</p>
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